How To Bet And Win In Horse racing

The Odds of the quinella are much higher than a direct win, so more money will be won if the quinella comes through.. Placing a $100 dollar bet on a good trifecta will give you a broad nice smile on you face when collecting your winnings.

Double Event: This waging is when you select the two winners from two consecutive races. A trifecta is where three horses are placed in the exacta order of finishing 1, 2, and 3. All horse tracks offer exacta betting on most races. The odds of picking the six winners in six races are high and so are the payoffs.

Quinella: The Quinella is a term given to a bet that picks the two horses which will come first and second no matter the order. So your wager is on horses 6, 5, 7 & 8 (all in 4 consecutive races)

Exacta: In the exacta, you can pick the horses that will finish first and second in exact order. So if you wager on horses 6 and 7 in an exacta or sometimes called a perfecta, you must specifically state which horse you bet will come first and which horse will come second.

Pick Six: No, this is not the lotto, you must be very lucky to burst this bubble, you are wagering that your choice of 6 horses will win their respective Races. So if you bet that horses number 6 and 7 will come first or second, doesn’t matter which one comes first or second. As the odds for winning increases so does the payout.

Pick 9: Same as the Pick six, the only difference is that the odds are stacked much more higher and so is the payout. These bets are not available in all races as many factors depict if a customer can wager on a high 5 race such as the amount of horses in the race. So if you are wagering on race 1 and race 2, you must bet on the horse that will win in race 1 and the horse that will win in race 2. If one horse win and the other does not, you will lose your bet, both horses must win for you to see dividends.

Pick Four: Are you feeling a bit more lucky? well pick four is for you, you are wagering that your choice of 4 horses will win in FOUR consecutive Races. Betting beg on a pick 9 can give you millions in winnings.

High Five: You are wagering that your choice of 5 horses will finish 1st through 5th places in a single race. Races with 7 or less horses are usually excluded from High 5 or another term pick 5 wagering.

Trifecta:If you are really lucky or really know your horses, you can wager on what is called a trifecta

Research and Markets: Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets: Adaptive Drift Modeling Identifies Periods of Inefficiency and Develops Profitable Forecasting Models

A Fulbright Senior Specialist, Dr.

Preface.

1. Market Perspectives: Through a Glass Darkly.

3. Mallios, PhD, is a consultant at Mallios and Associates,

where he provides professional advisement to various financial, medical,

and educational institutions. Single Equation Adaptive Drift Modeling.

8. Financial/Mathematical Illiteracy and Adolescent Problem Gambling:

Epidemics More Damaging Than the 1918 Influenza Pandemic.

13. Single Equation Modeling: Sports Gambling Markets.

9. Simultaneous Financial Time Series.

10. Featuring detailed examples

that utilize actual data, the book addresses various topics that promote

financial and mathematical literacy, including:

William S. The book

uniquely identifies periods of inefficiency that these markets oscillate

through and develops profitable forecasting models that capitalize on

irrational behavior exhibited during these periods.

Key Topics Covered:

Higher order ARMA processes in financial markets

The effects of gambling shocks in sports gambling markets

Cointegrated time series with model drift

Modeling volatility

Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets is an excellent

book for courses on financial economics and time series analysis at the

upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. Adaptive Modeling Concepts in Dynamic Markets.

5. Mallios

served as professor of decision sciences at California State University,

Fresno, for more than twenty-five years and has provided consulting

services for government organizations, including the Food and Drug

Administration and Centers for Disease Control.

Author:

Addressing the highly competitive and risky environments of current-day

financial and sports gambling markets, Forecasting in Financial and

Sports Gambling Markets details the dynamic process of constructing

effective forecasting rules based on both graphical patterns and

adaptive drift modeling (ADM) of cointegrated time series. Studies in Japanese Candlestick Charts.

6. Categorical Forecasting.

12. The book is also a valuable

reference for researchers and practitioners working in the areas of

retail markets, quant funds, hedge funds, and time series. Also, anyone

with a general interest in learning about how to profit from the

financial and sports gambling markets will find this book to be a

valuable resource.

A guide to modeling analyses for financial and sports gambling markets,

with a focus on major current events

DUBLIN–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Research and Markets (http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/508458/forecasting_in_fin)

has announced the addition of John Wiley and Sons Ltd’s new book “Forecasting

in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets: Adaptive Drift Modeling”

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For more information visit http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/508458/forecasting_in_fin

. Modeling Cointegrated Time Series Associated with NBA and NFL

Games.

11. The Influenza Futures Markets.

Index.

List of Figures.

Throughout the book, interesting real-world applications are presented,

and numerous graphical procedures illustrate favorable trading and

betting opportunities, which are accompanied by mathematical

developments in adaptive model forecasting and risk assessment. A

related web site features updated reviews in sports and financial

forecasting and various links on the topic.

Providing valuable insights based on the author’s firsthand experience,

this book utilizes simple, yet unique, candlestick charts to identify

optimal time periods in financial markets and optimal games in sports

gambling markets for which forecasting models are likely to provide

profitable trading and wagering outcomes. Opacity and Present Day Variables.

4. Introduction.

2. Pseudo Candlestick Graphics for Major League Baseball.

7

Don’t Be a Square: 10 Tips for Betting on Football

Chasing losses is the fastest way to the poor house.”

So, is it possible for the average square to become a little sharper in making football bets this season? According to professionals like Vacarro, Konik and Gordon, amateur bettors have the best chance to win if they demonstrate a little patience and follow the 10 basic tips below. “Squares usually bet later in the week and they tend to pick the favorites. He is not taken in by being involved in USC-Notre Dame just because it is the biggest watched game of the day. “Thus, the bookies love and cherish the squares.”

And where does all that money go?

And remember, in the immortal words of “Fast” Eddie Felson, “Money won is twice as sweet as money earned.”

But even though the math says it’s virtually impossible to win on a consistent basis, Americans continue to bet on football. “He is not jaded by teams and does not bet with his heart. “If you listen to their advice, you are sure to lose. “The sharps are usually members of a betting syndicate privy to the most up-to-date information on injuries, weather, game plans, and, most important, the real power of the teams involved.

“The biggest mistake that amateur bettors make is they increase their bets when they are losing,” Sevransky says. “There will be more discrepancy in the numbers at different sports books.

Moseman agrees and especially likes home underdogs. These books change their numbers according to the betting patterns of their customers, so it is not entirely uncommon to find two or three point differences in the lines.”

So, how much are we gambling each football season?

“A sharp or smart has a plan of what he wants to do,” says Vaccaro, the director of sports operations and public relations at Lucky’s Race and Sports Book in Las Vegas. Bet at the Right Time – “The sharp bettors tend to bet underdogs, and they tend to bet them early,” Moseman says.

10.

Even Hollywood is not immune – think Two for the Money with Al Pacino and Matthew McConaughey.

“There is probably no better bet in sports than playing an underdog at home,” Moseman says.

“Most people with an understanding of football gambling bet between 3 percent and 5 percent of their bankroll, increasing when they win and reducing when they lose,” Vaccaro says. Slim underdogs regularly win outright. The payout is just the same as far as he is concerned. They use powerful computers that can process millions of bits of data and produce a more accurate point-spread line than the bookmakers.”

Betting on football games; whether it’s through a local bookie, an offshore Internet site or a Nevada casino (still the only legal place in America to make football bets), most of us have done it or know of someone who has. And why not? We have unconditional love for the sport and betting $50 or $100 on a game adds an extra rush of adrenaline. On college you will be able to find different lines at different sports books. Drinking and Gambling Don’t Mix – “There is a reason the casinos in Las Vegas supply you with free drinks while you are gambling,” Moseman says. If North Texas is his best bet on a Saturday then that is his bet. “For example, if you have a $1,000 bankroll for the season, you should generally bet no more than $50 a game.”

“A square is the average, unsophisticated gambler whose decision making is based on hunches, media manipulation, or spurious systems that cannot overcome the bookmaker’s inherent mathematical advantage,” Konik explains. To be a successful sports bettor you need to operate with a clear mind.”

1. “Teams play inspired ball at home. “When you’re in a good rhythm and winning, you want to increase your bets. Avoid Chasing Bets – “Don’t do it! There is no worse way to mismanage your bankroll than to chase your bets after a losing day,” cautions Moseman on the dangerous practice of trying to immediately win back your losses. Giving 11 to 10 odds is almost always the cheapest price you can give.”

2. Consider Underdogs – “In the long-run, it’s easier to win betting on the underdog,” Konik says. “In trying to bamboozle potential customers, many services make claims about having scouts all over the country that give them inside information and promise 70 or even 80 percent winners, as if the bookmakers were the biggest suckers in the world. “The key to proper money management is to be sure not to bet more than you can afford to lose.”

9. If you like an underdog, it is best to get your bet in as late as possible, where there is heavy action from squares on favorites. Oakland comes to mind) seem like the Super Bowl. Thanks to the juice, the only one who profits in this scenario is the bookmaker.

So, how much should you bet a game?

But that doesn’t mean you have to bet like a “square” and throw away your hard-earned money.

Also, it’s probably a good idea to disregard advice from the myriad of ex-players and football experts you see on television each week.

Newspapers and popular sports sites routinely publish the lines or point spreads for games, and football insiders offer their picks to viewers each week on ESPN and other cable networks. . Not all games work according to this formula, but it is usually a good rule of thumb.”

4.

7. “As for me, the best bet in football is betting the point spread or over/under totals on individual games. The NFL, for example, will have very similar numbers at most of the betting shops you visit. Shop For Numbers – “Another important aspect of betting on football is shopping for the best number,” Moseman explains.

Another difference between squares and sharps is how they approach betting on game day.

“The talking heads on TV know nothing about sports betting,” says Sevransky. If you are going to go with a favorite, it is best to place your bet early in the week when the sharps are laying heavy money on the points. “Most people prefer to bet on the ‘better’ team, the one that will probably win the game. “If you become an expert on a smaller conference like the WAC, you have a good chance to beat the house because sports book operators do not have the time or resources to follow this conference the way you can. There are almost an infinite number of scenarios that can happen in a single football game. “In the NFL, a game will often be totally turned around by one or two plays, or even a single penalty. If you want advice about sports betting, find someone who has a successful track record.

Although exact figures are impossible to calculate, according to Jimmy Vaccaro, widely considered to be Las Vegas’ most influential bookmaker, Americans probably wager more than $50 billion a year on NFL and college football combined. Avoid Exotic Bets – “For very skilled handicappers, with a proven track record, there can, at least in theory, be value in betting parlays,” says Gordon on the type of bet that combines two or more individual wagers.

While these tips don’t guarantee you’re going to win, hopefully they can make you a little less square and a little more sharp in your picks this season. Research Football Services – “Most sports services realize that most people who sign up with them are insecure,” Gordon warns. So underdogs tend to be slightly undervalued – except by the sharps.”

Michael Konik, a sports writer and best-selling author of The Smart Money (Simon & Schuster 2006), explains why it is so hard for the recreational gambler to win at betting on football. Focus on Conferences – “The best way to win money betting football is to develop a niche and follow it closely,” Moseman advises. There is a wealth of information on the Internet; it is just up to you to find it and research it daily.”

“A square or recreational player might have a vague plan, but after two Corona’s he will definitely run to the window and make a hasty decision on the USC-Notre Dame game because he wants to be involved in the party atmosphere,” Vaccaro says. The only touts bettors should consider are the ones who talk about the long haul and realistic winning percentages, which are in the upper 50 percent to lower 60 percent range.”

Ted Sevransky, a well-known Las Vegas gambler and sports consultant with Sportsmemo.com, agrees.

However, Konik adds that there are some bettors who actually know how to beat the bookies. But, when you’re struggling, that’s when you want to reduce your bet size until you get out of your slump. Money Management – “This is without a doubt the most important aspect of betting on sports and possibly the most neglected,” says Morey “Doc” Moseman, a professional gambler and sports consultant with DocSports.com for nearly 40 years. Big underdogs often find ways to cover the spread and they rarely give up toward the end of a game in front of the home crowd.”

6.

“In an average season, fewer than one bettor in twelve turns a profit,” Gordon says. The only locks that exist are those that need keys to open them.”

Certainly not back into the pockets of the average bettor. Also, being “in action” can make a dull late-afternoon game (Buffalo vs. “Over the course of several seasons, the percentage of bettors who turn a profit is minuscule.”

“The standard bet requires gamblers to lay $11 for every $10 they want to win with the extra $1 or 10 percent known as the juice,” Konik says.

8. In fact, sports bettors must pick 52.4 percent winners just to break even.”

5. He loses year after year, according to Dan Gordon, a top football handicapper and author of How to Beat the Sports Books (Cardoza Publishing 2005). “Because alcohol clouds your judgment and usually helps you to make rash decisions you usually wouldn’t otherwise make. Locks Don’t Exist – “Anyone who has watched sports for about a month realizes that the difference between winning and losing, especially against the spread, can be infinitesimally small,” Gordon says. Otherwise, you’re better off doing your own research.”

3.

“The bookies fear and despise a tiny coterie of professional bettors known as ‘the sharps,’” Konik says. “Common wisdom says that over the course of a long football season the average man or woman will pick approximately 50 percent winners